Amostragem seqüencial de Alabama argillacea (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) em algodoeiro
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Data
2003-01-01
Autores
Fernandes, Marcos G.
Busoli, Antonio C.
Barbosa, José C. [UNESP]
Título da Revista
ISSN da Revista
Título de Volume
Editor
Sociedade Entomológica do Brasil
Resumo
Para implantar o manejo apropriado do curuquerê-do-algodoeiro, é necessário construir um plano de amostragem que permita estimar, de forma rápida e precisa, a densidade populacional da praga. Esta pesquisa objetivou determinar o plano de amostragem seqüencial de Alabama argillacea (Hübner) em algodoeiro, cultivar CNPA ITA-90. Os dados foram coletados no ano agrícola de 1998/99 na Fazenda Itamarati Sul S/A, localizada no município de Ponta Porã, MS, em três áreas de 10.000 m² cada. As áreas amostrais foram compostas de 100 parcelas de 100 m². O número de lagartas pequenas, médias e grandes foi determinado semanalmente em cinco plantas tomadas ao acaso por parcela. Após verificado que todos os instares das lagartas estavam distribuídos de acordo com o modelo de distribuição agregada, ajustando-se à Distribuição Binomial Negativa durante todo o período de infestação, construiu-se um plano de amostragem seqüencial de acordo com o Teste Seqüencial da Razão de Probabilidade (TSRP). Adotou-se o nível de controle de duas lagartas por planta para a construção do plano de amostragem. A análise dos dados indicou duas linhas de decisão: a superior, que representa a condição de que a adoção de um método de controle é recomendado, definida por S1= 4,8784+1,4227n; e a inferior representando que a adoção de algum método de controle não é necessário, definida por S0= -4,8784+1,4227n. A amostragem seqüencial estimou o número máximo esperado de 16 unidades amostrais para se definir a necessidade ou não do controle.
An appropriated management of the cotton leafworm on cotton crop demands a sampling plan that quantifies the population density of the pest in an accurate and fast form. The objective of this research was to determine the plan of sequential sampling of Alabama argillacea (Hübner) on cotton crop, CNPA ITA-90 cultivar. During the 1998/99 growing season a sampling system was applied in three experimental areas located at the Fazenda Itamarati Sul S/A in the region of Ponta Porã, state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. Each area measured 1 ha and was composed of 100 plots with 100 m². The number of small, medium and large larvae was counted on five plants per plot, in a weekly basis. After defined that all stages of cotton leafworm larvae were distributed according to the contagious model, fitting Negative Binomial Distribution during the whole period of infestation, a sequential sampling plan was provided, according to the Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT). A threshold level of two larvae per plant was assumed to trigger the sampling plan. After the data were analyzed two decision lines were indicated: the superior one, which represents the condition that the adoption of some control method is recommended, and was defined as S1= 4.8784+1.4227n; and the inferior one, representing the situation where the adoption of some control method is not recommended, defined as S0= -4.8784+1.4227n. The sequential sampling plan indicated the expected maximum number of 16 samples to determine whether or not the pest control is necessary.
An appropriated management of the cotton leafworm on cotton crop demands a sampling plan that quantifies the population density of the pest in an accurate and fast form. The objective of this research was to determine the plan of sequential sampling of Alabama argillacea (Hübner) on cotton crop, CNPA ITA-90 cultivar. During the 1998/99 growing season a sampling system was applied in three experimental areas located at the Fazenda Itamarati Sul S/A in the region of Ponta Porã, state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. Each area measured 1 ha and was composed of 100 plots with 100 m². The number of small, medium and large larvae was counted on five plants per plot, in a weekly basis. After defined that all stages of cotton leafworm larvae were distributed according to the contagious model, fitting Negative Binomial Distribution during the whole period of infestation, a sequential sampling plan was provided, according to the Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT). A threshold level of two larvae per plant was assumed to trigger the sampling plan. After the data were analyzed two decision lines were indicated: the superior one, which represents the condition that the adoption of some control method is recommended, and was defined as S1= 4.8784+1.4227n; and the inferior one, representing the situation where the adoption of some control method is not recommended, defined as S0= -4.8784+1.4227n. The sequential sampling plan indicated the expected maximum number of 16 samples to determine whether or not the pest control is necessary.
Descrição
Palavras-chave
Insecta, Gossypium hirsutum, Leafworm cotton, Negative binomial distribution, Insecta, Gossypium hirsutum, Curuquerê do algodoeiro, Distribuição binomial negativa
Como citar
Neotropical Entomology. Sociedade Entomológica do Brasil, v. 32, n. 1, p. 117-122, 2003.