RESEARCH ARTICLE Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson- Fabry disease: A complementary overview of a Cochrane publication through a linear regression and a pooled analysis of proportions from cohort studies Regina El Dib1,2*, Huda Gomaa3, Alberto Ortiz4, Juan Politei5, Anil Kapoor2, Fellype Barreto6 1 Institute of Science and Technology, Unesp - Univ Estadual Paulista, São José dos Campos, Brazil, 2 McMaster Institute of Urology, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada, 3 Department of Pharmacy, Tanta Chest Hospital, Tanta, Egypt, 4 IIS-Fundacion Jimenez Diaz, Universidad Autonoma Madrid, Madrid, Spain, 5 Neurology Service, Dr Nestor Chamoles Laboratory of Neurochemistry, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 6 Department of Internal Medicine, Nephrology Service, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil * eldib@ict.unesp.br Abstract Background Anderson-Fabry disease (AFD) is an X-linked recessive inborn error of glycosphingolipid metabolism caused by a deficiency of alpha-galactosidase A. Renal failure, heart and cere- brovascular involvement reduce survival. A Cochrane review provided little evidence on the use of enzyme replacement therapy (ERT). We now complement this review through a lin- ear regression and a pooled analysis of proportions from cohort studies. Objectives To evaluate the efficacy and safety of ERT for AFD. Materials and methods For the systematic review, a literature search was performed, from inception to March 2016, using Medline, EMBASE and LILACS. Inclusion criteria were cohort studies, patients with AFD on ERT or natural history, and at least one patient-important outcome (all-cause mor- tality, renal, cardiovascular or cerebrovascular events, and adverse events) reported. The pooled proportion and the confidence interval (CI) are shown for each outcome. Simple lin- ear regressions for composite endpoints were performed. Results 77 cohort studies involving 15,305 participants proved eligible. The pooled proportions were as follows: a) for renal complications, agalsidase alfa 15.3% [95% CI 0.048, 0.303; I2 = 77.2%, p = 0.0005]; agalsidase beta 6% [95% CI 0.04, 0.07; I2 = not applicable]; and PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 1 / 22 a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 OPENACCESS Citation: El Dib R, Gomaa H, Ortiz A, Politei J, Kapoor A, Barreto F (2017) Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview of a Cochrane publication through a linear regression and a pooled analysis of proportions from cohort studies. PLoS ONE 12 (3): e0173358. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal. pone.0173358 Editor: Leighton R James, University of Florida College of Medicine, UNITED STATES Received: September 24, 2016 Accepted: February 19, 2017 Published: March 15, 2017 Copyright: © 2017 El Dib et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Data Availability Statement: All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files. Funding: Alberto Ortiz has been funded by Spanish Government and FEDER funds Intensificación and RETIC REDINREN RD016/0021. Regina El Dib received a Brazilian Research Council (CNPq) scholarship (#310953/2015-4). The funding https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 http://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1371/journal.pone.0173358&domain=pdf&date_stamp=2017-03-15 http://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1371/journal.pone.0173358&domain=pdf&date_stamp=2017-03-15 http://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1371/journal.pone.0173358&domain=pdf&date_stamp=2017-03-15 http://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1371/journal.pone.0173358&domain=pdf&date_stamp=2017-03-15 http://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1371/journal.pone.0173358&domain=pdf&date_stamp=2017-03-15 http://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1371/journal.pone.0173358&domain=pdf&date_stamp=2017-03-15 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ untreated patients 21.4% [95% CI 0.1522, 0.2835; I2 = 89.6%, p<0.0001]. Effect differences favored agalsidase beta compared to untreated patients; b) for cardiovascular complica- tions, agalsidase alfa 28% [95% CI 0.07, 0.55; I2 = 96.7%, p<0.0001]; agalsidase beta 7% [95% CI 0.05, 0.08; I2 = not applicable]; and untreated patients 26.2% [95% CI 0.149, 0.394; I2 = 98.8%, p<0.0001]. Effect differences favored agalsidase beta compared to untreated patients; and c) for cerebrovascular complications, agalsidase alfa 11.1% [95% CI 0.058, 0.179; I2 = 70.5%, p = 0.0024]; agalsidase beta 3.5% [95% CI 0.024, 0.046; I2 = 0%, p = 0.4209]; and untreated patients 18.3% [95% CI 0.129, 0.245; I2 = 95% p < 0.0001]. Effect differences favored agalsidase beta over agalsidase alfa or untreated patients. A linear regression showed that Fabry patients receiving agalsidase alfa are more likely to have higher rates of composite endpoints compared to those receiving agalsidase beta. Conclusions Agalsidase beta is associated to a significantly lower incidence of renal, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events than no ERT, and to a significantly lower incidence of cerebrovascu- lar events than agalsidase alfa. In view of these results, the use of agalsidase beta for pre- venting major organ complications related to AFD can be recommended. Introduction Anderson-Fabry disease (AFD) is an X-linked recessive inborn error of glycosphingolipid metabolism caused by deficiency of alpha-galactosidase A (AGAL) which has an incidence estimated at 1 in 117,000 live births for males [1]; although a recent study suggest that the inci- dence may be much higher, particularly when non-classical phenotype is considered [2]. The complications of AFD include major renal, cardiac and cerebrovascular events due to progressive accumulation of a globotriaosylceramide (Gb3) in numerous cell types and of dea- cylated Gb3 (globotriaosylsphingosine, lyso-Gb3) in the circulation. Lyso-Gb3 promotes smooth muscle cell proliferation and podocyte injury in vitro [3,4]. Enzyme replacement therapy (ERT) is a specific medical treatment for AFD, and consists of intravenous infusion of the missing enzyme. There are two forms of recombinant human AGAL: agalsidase alfa (Replagal) and agalsidase beta (Fabrazyme). Agalsidase alfa produced in human fibrosarcoma cells; while agalsidase beta is produced by a Chinese Hamster Ovary cells. Both enzymes are approved in Europe and other countries, but the Federal Drug Agency (FDA) of the United States has approved only agalsidase beta [5,6]. ERT is infused biweekly. Surprisingly, the dose is five-fold different: 0.2 mg/kg body weight for agalsidase alfa and 1.0 mg/kg for agalsidase beta. A proportion of people with AFD receiving ERT may develop anti-agalsidase antibodies; the occurrence of antibodies against agalsidase alfa and beta has been reported to be 55% and 83%, respectively [5,6]. The clinical efficacy seems not to be influenced by the antibody forma- tion. Only in rare cases, IgE antibodies have been reported after infusion of agalsidase beta [5]. A Cochrane review [7] of nine randomized controlled trials (RCTs) addressing patient- important outcomes and including 351 patients reported that ERT is associated to significant improvement of endothelial deposits of globotriaosylceramide and of pain-related quality of life compared to placebo; however the effects of ERT on patient-important outcomes related to Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 2 / 22 agencies played no role in the conduct of the research or preparation of the manuscript. Competing interests: Alberto Ortiz is a consultant for Genzyme Sanofi in his role of as a member of the Fabry Registry European Board of Advisors and has also received speaker fees from Shire. This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials. Abbreviations: AFD, Anderson-Fabry disease; AGAL, alpha-galactosidase A; CHO, Chinese hamster ovary; CI, confidence interval; ERT, enzyme replacement therapy; Gb3, globotriaosylsphingosine; MOOSE, Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology; PRISMA, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses; RCTs, randomized controlled trials. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 AFD was still unclear. In this regard, RCTs enrolled a limited number of patients and follow- up was relatively short, frequently just a few months. The previous Cochrane review was limited since it did not include all studies in this rapidly evolving field and RCTs were mostly too short to be informative on key outcomes in this chronic rare disease that, for the kidney, has a mean natural history of four decades from birth to the need of renal replacement therapy. Regulatory authorities were well aware of the insuffi- cient data obtained from RCTs and mandated the setting up of Registries that allowed the pro- spective collection of data on ERT efficacy and safety in larger number of patients followed for longer periods of time under routine clinical practice conditions. Although the ERT literature is dominated by data generated by these registries, until now no attempt at systematically reviewing and analyzing these data was available, thus depriving Fabry doctors and patients of a key source of information. Therefore, a complementary overview of a Cochrane publication through a linear regression and a pooled analysis of proportions from all cohort studies was undertaken. Material and methods Our reporting adheres to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta- analyses (PRISMA) [8] (S1 Table) and Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) Statements [9]. We performed a systematic review of clinical cohort studies with pooled analysis of propor- tions [10,11] and a linear regression of patients with AFD on ERT with either agalsidase alfa or beta. Eligibility criteria • Study design: cohort studies (number of reported patients in each study greater than five). We excluded RCTs as this type of study was already evaluated in a Cochrane review [7]. • Participants: patients with genetically, enzymatically and/or biopsy-proven AFD regardless, age, gender, or disease severity. • Interventions: agalsidase alfa, agalsidase beta, or untreated patients (i.e., natural history period, treatment-naïve patients). • Patient-important outcomes: ◦All cause-mortality; ◦ Renal events: end stage kidney disease needing dialysis; or kidney transplantation; ◦Cardiovascular events: myocardial infarction; needing cardiovascular devices; severe arrhythmia; or congestive heart failure; ◦Cerebrovascular events: stroke; or transitory ischemic attack. Adverse events such as nasopharyngitis, rhinitis, nasal congestion, aggravation of allergic rhi- nitis with nasal discharge, dyspnea, cough, dizziness, flushing, pruritus, neuralgia, nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, abdominal pain, and arthralgia were also analyzed. We did not consider infusion reactions such as chills, fever, and headache as adverse events. We also did not con- sider serious adverse events as these could overlap with other clinical outcomes reported in the studies. We excluded switching studies (for example, patients using agalsidase beta that was switched to agalsidase alfa) due to possible dose interaction effects. We also excluded studies Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 3 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 that presented patients receiving either alfa or beta in the same set of analysis [12–16], and studies that did not specify the ERT used [17–19]. Data source and searches The Cochrane review with similar eligibility criteria retrieved studies up to September 2015 [7]. Using Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) based on the terms “Fabry Disease,” “agalsidase alfa,” and “agalsidase beta” (S1 Table) we replicated the search strategy of that review [7] for Medline, EMBASE, and LILACS from October 1, 2015 to March 1, 2016. We also included terms for “natural history”, “untreated patients,” “healthy control,” and “placebo” along with the terms for “Fabry Disease,” and we ran the search in the same electronic databases, without restriction of years (S2 Table). Furthermore, we reviewed reference lists of relevant review arti- cle [20] and primary studies. We did not impose any language restrictions. The search strategy was adapted for each database to achieve more sensitivity. Selection of studies Reviewers independently screened all titles and abstracts identified by the literature search, obtained full-text articles of all potentially relevant studies, and evaluated them against the eli- gibility criteria. Reviewers resolved disagreement by discussion or, if necessary, with third party adjudication. We also considered studies reported only as conference abstracts. Data extraction Reviewers independently extracted relevant data: study design; country; patients (number of patients, gender, mean age, children was defined as� 18 years of age, phenotype); initiation of treatment; description of the intervention and control groups; outcomes event rates; and fol- low-up. We collected outcome data for the longest follow-up. Multiple publications of the same study. If we found multiple publications from the same study and if supplementary reports included eligible outcomes not provided in the main report, we included complementary information from the multiple publications. However, we chose to extract total numbers of participants and events from the study that reported the larg- est sample size. Authors were contacted to clarify any issue related to multiple publications of the same study. Cohort studies with incomplete data were included only in the qualitative analysis. Statistical analysis Proportional meta-analysis. We analyzed all outcomes as dichotomous variables with their respective confidence intervals (CI) of 95%. Since we expected that there were both clini- cal and methodological differences among the included studies, a random-effects model was used to perform the pooled analysis of proportions [21]. We only considered plotting into a meta-analysis studies that used the standard dose for agalsidase alfa (i.e., 0.2 mg/kg) and agalsi- dase beta (i.e., 1.0 mg/kg). We did not consider analyzing changes in globotriaosylceramide (Gb3, GL3) concentration in plasma, urine and tissue, or changes in lyso-Gb3 in plasma, nei- ther pain in this review as these outcomes are continuous variables. The meta-analysis was per- formed with the StatsDirect software, version 2.8.0. (StatsDirect Ltd, Altrincham, Cheshire, UK). Forest plots are presented to summarize data, and each horizontal line represents a study included in the meta-analysis. The length of the line corresponds to the 95% CI of the corre- sponding studies’ effect estimate. The effect estimate is marked with a solid black square. The Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 4 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 size of the square represents the weight that the corresponding study exerts in the meta-analy- sis. The pooled estimate is marked with an unfilled diamond at the bottom of the forest plot. CIs of pooled estimates are displayed as a horizontal line through the diamond; this line might be contained within the diamond if the confidence interval is narrow. A statistically significant difference between two interventions required that their combined 95% CIs did not overlap [10,11]. Simple linear regressions and analysis of variance. Simple linear regressions for com- posite endpoints (death, renal or cardiac events, or stroke) were performed assuming a plausi- ble best-case scenario analysis in which we considered the lowest event rate among those endpoints reported per included study. This was tested it using the general linear F-statistic. Simple linear regression was performed with the STATA software for Windows, version 14.1 (StataCorp. 2015. Stata Statistical Software: Release 14. College Station, TX: StataCorp LP). Mean age and mean follow-up calculated in this study were based on the mean age and mean follow-up of each cohort study included in this review. Mean age was considered either at the beginning of ERT or the available age provided by the included studies for treated and untreated patients, respectively. We also performed analysis of variance (ANOVA) to com- pare mean number of male and mean age among the three studied groups (alfa, beta, and untreated). This analysis was performed with SAS/STAT1 software for Windows, version 9.3 (SAS Institute Inc. Trademarks). Statistical heterogeneity and sensitivity analysis We planned to perform sensitivity analysis by gender (i.e. male versus female), age (i.e. adults versus children), follow-up periods (< 5 years versus� 5 years), and AFD phenotype (i.e. clas- sical versus non-classical); however we were only able to perform sensitivity analysis for age and different follow-up periods because there were an insufficient number of studies to allow this analysis for the other two variables. We considered inconsistent results between the pri- mary and sensitivity analysis when the difference between the proportions was more than 3%. We also planned to assess publication bias through visual inspection of funnel plots for each outcome in which we identified 15 or more eligible studies. We used I2 statistic to test for heterogeneity, and significance was assumed when I2 was > than 50% with a P < 0.1. Results Study selection Fig 1 presents the process of identifying eligible studies, including publications in the Cochrane systematic review [7], and citations identified by searching in electronic databases. We identified a total of 1,987 citations, after duplicates were removed. Based on title and abstract screening, we assessed 208 full-texts of which we included 77 cohort studies (repre- sented by 135 individual references) involving 15,305 participants. The majority of the included studies (79.2%; n = 61) were available as full-text articles and 20.7% (n = 16) were only abstracts reports. We contacted the authors of all the included studies, but only nine [22–34] responded whether there was an overlap of patients in their multiple publications (S3 Table). Study characteristics Table 1 describes study characteristics related to country, number of participants, mean age, gender, initiation of treatment, and mean follow-up for different ERT regimens. Thirty-four studies [25–27,32,33,35–63] were conducted largely in Europe, 16 were international studies Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 5 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 Fig 1. Flowchart of the review. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g001 Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 6 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g001 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 [22–24, 64–76], 10 in the USA [28–30,77–83], nine in Asia [84–92], six in Central and South America [93–98], and two in Canada [31,34]. Cohort studies sample size ranged from six [60,93] to 2,869 [68]. Typical participants were males in their 30s and 40s. There was no statis- tically significance difference related to mean age among the three studied groups (p = 0.10); however there was a statistically significance difference in the percentage of males between the agalsidase beta (74.7%) and untreated groups (49.1%) (p = 0.01). Studies followed participants from five months [85] to 24.25 years [42] with a mean follow-up of 3.8 years. There were more studies evaluating agalsidase beta (41.2%, n = 31) with a total of 3,598 patients) followed by agalsidase alfa (37.6%, n = 29 with a total of 2,840 patients), and untreated patients, including natural history period of AFD patients and healthy volunteers (25.9%, n = 20 with a total of 8,865 patients). Only 1.8% (n = 277) of the total sample size evalu- ated was children (Table 1). Four (12.9%) [39,51,80,93] of the 31 agalsidade beta studies specified the phenotype of AFD, two [51,93] as classic, and further two [39,80] as classic and non-classic patients. Only two (6.9%) [36,41] of the 29 agalsidase alfa studies specified the disease as classic AFD (Table 1). Table 1. Characteristics of patients undergoing ERT: Comparison among different regimens for AFD patients. Total Alfa Beta Untreated Total cohort studies 77 29 31 20$ Total number of patients 15,305 2,840 3,598 8,867 Mean percentage of males*£ 66.4 65.9 74.7 49.1 Mean age*€ (years) 35.1 34.4 33.1 41.2 Total number of children 277 194 50 33 Phenotype (# of studies): Classic 7 2 3 3 Non-classic 0 0 0 0 Cassic and non-classic 4 0 1 2 Not reported 66 27 27 15$ Total number of classic patients 1,407 26 1,060 321 Initiation of treatment (# of studies): � 25 year-old 7 4 3 NA > 25 year-old 13 8 5 NA � 25 and > 25 year-old 11 4 7 NA Not reported 29 13 16 NA Country (# of studies): Europe 34 12 15 7$ International 16 7 5 6$ USA 10 4 2 4 Asian 9 2 6 1 Central and South America 6 3 2 1 Canada 2 1 1 1 Mean follow-up (years) 3.8 3.3 3.9 4.5 NA: not applicable. *In the whole population. $Three studies [23,62,66] also evaluated agalsidase beta. £There was a statistically significance difference between agalsidase beta and untreated groups (p = 0.0192). €There was no statistically significance difference among the three studied groups (p = 0.1050). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.t001 Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 7 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.t001 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 S4 Table describes study characteristics related to description of the intervention, inclusion and exclusion criteria. The majority of the included studies reported on a confirmed diagnosis of AFD by detection of mutations in the GLA, gene, or by alpha-galactosidase A enzymatic assay. Outcomes All-cause mortality. The pooled proportions for all-cause mortality were: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis) from six cohort studies [28, 37,43,67,70,83] with a total of 344 patients, 9% [95% CI 0.03, 0.16; I2 = 68.9%, p = 0.0066]; agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analysis excluding chil- dren) from four cohort studies [37,43,67,83] with a total of 309 patients, 12% [95% CI 0.06, 0.20; I2 = 62.2%, p = 0.0475]; agalsidase beta from two cohort studies [53,80] with a total of 1,053 patients, 4.4% [95% CI 0.002, 0.201; I2 = not applicable]; and untreated patients from six cohort studies [29,33,42,62,68,77] with a total of 812 patients, 10.8% [94.5% CI 0.0205, 0.2521; I2 = 95.6%, p< 0.0001] (Fig 2). There was significance regarding heterogeneity in all analyses, except for agalsidase beta as the I2 was not applicable. A plausible sensitivity analysis excluding Fig 2. Pooled analysis of proportions from cohort studies for all-cause mortality. Panel A: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis). Panel B: agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analysis excluding children). Panel C: agalsidase beta. Panel D: untreated patients. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g002 Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 8 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g002 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 children for agalsidase alfa yielded results that were inconsistent with the primary analysis showing almost a quarter more deaths (Fig 2). Although the rate of all-cause mortality in the primary analysis was higher in the untreated patients (10.8%), followed by agalsidase alfa (9%), and agalsidase beta (4.4%), there was no sig- nificant difference between the groups, as their CIs overlapped (Fig 2). Renal complications. The pooled proportions for renal complications were: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis) from six cohort studies [27,37,43,58,70,98] with a total of 168 patients, 15.3% [95% CI 0.048, 0.303; I2 = 77.2%, p = 0.0005]; agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analysis exclud- ing children) from five cohort studies [27,37,43,58,98] with a total of 152 patients, 16.8% [95% CI 0.041, 0.356; I2 = 81.4%, p = 0.0002]; agalsidase beta from one cohort [80] with a total of 1,044 patients 6% [95% CI 0.04, 0.07; I2 = not applicable]; and untreated patients from 11 cohort studies [29,33,42,47,56,62,65,68,77,89,97] with a total of 1,698 patients, 21.4% [95% CI 0.1522, 0.2835; I2 = 89.6%, p< 0.0001] (S1 Fig). There was significance regarding heterogene- ity in all analyses, except for agalsidase beta as the I2 was not applicable. A plausible sensitivity analysis excluding children for the agalsidase alfa yielded results that were consistent with the primary analysis (S1 Fig). Effect differences were observed since the 95% CIs did not overlap, favoring the use of agal- sidase beta over untreated patients. There was no statistically significance difference between agalsidase alfa and untreated patients or agalsidase beta, as their CIs overlapped (Fig 3). Cardiovascular complications. The pooled proportions for cardiovascular complications were: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis) from four cohort studies [43,54,67,69] with a total of 524 patients, 28% [95% CI 0.07, 0.55; I2 = 96.7%, p< 0.0001]; agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analy- sis excluding children) from three cohort studies [43,54,67] with a total of 426 patients, 35% [95% CI 0.11, 0.65; I2 = 95.1%, p< 0.0001]; agalsidase beta (primary analysis) from three cohort studies [59,75,80] with a total of 1,069 patients, 7% [95% CI 0.05, 0.08; I2 = not applica- ble]; agalsidase beta (sensitivity analysis excluding children) from two cohort studies [59,80] with a total of 1,053 patients, 7% [95% CI 0.05, 0.08; I2 = not applicable]; and untreated patients from 14 cohort studies [31,33,42,47,54,56,60,65,68,72,76,80,89,97] with a total of 5,854 patients, 26.2% [95% CI 0.149, 0.394; I2 = 98.8%, p< 0.0001] (S2 Fig). There was significance regarding heterogeneity in all analyses, except for agalsidase beta, as the I2 was not applicable. A plausible sensitivity analysis excluding children for the agalsidase alfa yielded results that were inconsistent with the primary analysis showing a difference of 7% more deaths when excluding studies that evaluated children. However, a plausible sensitivity analysis excluding children for the agalsidase beta yielded results that were consistent with the primary analysis (S2 Fig). Fig 3. Comparison of the plotted proportional meta-analysis, according to ERT regimens, for renal complications. Effect differences were seen due to the non-overlap of the 95% confidence intervals favoring the use of agalsidase beta compared to untreated patients, as their CIs did not overlap. There was no statistically significance difference between agalsidase alfa and both untreated patients and agalsidase beta, as their CIs overlapped. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g003 Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 9 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g003 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 Effect differences were observed, since the 95% CI did not overlap, favoring the use of agal- sidase beta over untreated patients. However, there was no statistically significance difference between agalsidase alfa and both untreated patients and agalsidase beta, as their CIs overlapped (Fig 4). Cerebrovascular complications. The pooled proportions for cerebrovascular complica- tions were: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis) from seven cohort studies [37,43,63,67,69,70,98] with a total of 461 patients, 11.1% [95% CI 0.058, 0.179; I2 = 70.5%, p = 0.0024]; agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analysis excluding children) from five cohort studies [37,43,63,67,98] with a total of 339 patients, 10.5% [95% CI 0.043, 0.190; I2 = 71.2%, p = 0.0077]; agalsidase beta from three cohort studies [53,59,80] with a total of 1,062 patients, 3.5% [95% CI 0.024, 0.046; I2 = 0%, p = 0.4209]; and untreated patients from 15 cohort studies [29,31,33,42,47,56,60,62,65,68,72,78,81,89,97] with a total of 5,544 patients, 17.8% [95% CI 0.123, 0.240; I2 = 95.2% p< 0.0001]. There was significance regarding heterogeneity in all analyses, except for agalsidase beta as the I2 was 0%. A plausible sensitivity analysis excluding children for agalsidase alfa yielded results that were consistent with the primary analysis (S3 Fig). Effect differences were observed, since the 95% CI did not overlap, favoring agalsidase beta over both agalsidase alfa and untreated patients. There was no statistically significance differ- ence between agalsidase alfa and untreated patients, as their CIs overlapped (Fig 5). Adverse events. The pooled proportions for adverse events were: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis) from nine cohort studies [28,41,45,67,69,70,83,95,98] with a total of 482 patients, Fig 4. Comparison of the plotted proportional meta-analysis, according to ERT regimens, for cardiovascular complications. Effect differences were seen due to the non-overlap of the 95% confidence intervals favoring the use of agalsidase beta compared to untreated patients, as their CIs did not overlap. There was no statistically significance difference between agalsidase alfa and both untreated patients and agalsidase beta, as their CIs overlapped. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g004 Fig 5. Comparison of the plotted proportional meta-analysis, according to ERT regimens, for cerebrovascular complications. Effect differences were seen due to the non-overlap of the 95% confidence intervals favoring the use of agalsidase beta compared to both untreated patients and agalsidase alfa, as their CIs did not overlap. There was no statistically significance difference between agalsidase alfa and untreated patients, as their CIs overlapped. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g005 Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 10 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g004 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g005 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 31.3% [95% CI 0.149, 0.507; I2 = 93.4%, p <0.0001]; agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analysis exclud- ing children) from six cohort studies [41,45,67,83,95,98] with a total of 349 patients, 27% [95% CI 0.088, 0.505; I2 = 93.8%, p< 0.0001]; agalsidase beta (primary analysis) from five cohort studies [39,59,75,79,80] with a total of 1,089 patients, 34.1% [95% CI 0.071, 0.688; I2 = 93.3%, p< 0.0001]; agalsidase beta (sensitivity analysis excluding children) from four cohort studies [39,59,79,80] with a total of 1,073 patients, 19.5% [95% CI 0.055, 0.393; I2 = 74.8%, p = 0.0077]; and untreated patients from one cohort [47] with a total of 11 patients, 37% [95% CI 0.13, 0.65; I2 = not applicable]. There was significant heterogeneity in all analyses, except in the untreated group, as the I2 was not applicable. A plausible sensitivity analysis excluding children for both agalsidase alfa and beta yielded results that were inconsistent with the primary analy- sis (S4 Fig). There was no statistically significance difference between agalsidase alfa, agalsidase beta and untreated groups related to adverse effects rates, as their CIs overlapped (S4 Fig). A second sensitivity analysis from the same nine cohort studies [28,41,45,67,69,70,83,95,98] on agalsidase alfa, examined whether different follows up (� 5 years versus < 5 years) differed substantially. There were no substantial differences in the point estimates between� 5 years follow-up with three included studies [28,67,95] (n = 286 patients) (37.0% [95% CI 0.08, 0.74; I2 = 96.6%, p<0.0001]) and< 5 years follow-up with six included studies [41,45,69,70,83,98] (n = 196 patients) (28.6% [95% CI 0.082, 0.554; I2 = 92.2%, p<0.0001]) (S5 Fig). Furthermore, there was also no statistically significany difference between the sensitivity analyses for differ- ent follow-up periods for agalsidase alfa compared to agalsidase beta and untreated groups, as their CIs overlapped (S5 Fig). Composite endpoints. Data from seven [30,43,58,63,67,83,98] and four [23,53,59,62] studies included in the alfa and beta groups, respectively, with a follow-up from one year to 15 years in agalsidase alfa, and a follow-up from two years to 9.5 years in agalsidase beta, assessed by simple linear regression showed that Fabry patients receiving agalsidase alfa are more likely to have higher rates of composite endpoints (death, renal, cardiovascular or cerebrovascular events) compared to those receiving agalsidase beta throughout the years; however there was no statistically significant difference (p = 0.5878) (Fig 6). Fig 6. Progression of composite endpoints, according to ERT regimens throughout the years. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g006 Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 11 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.g006 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 Discussion Main findings AFD is a rare disease with a long natural history. For example, it takes approximately four decades since birth, when glycolipid deposits are already present in tissue, to the development of end-stage renal disease [81]. This poses several problems for evidence-based medicine. Being a rare disease, it is very difficult to recruit enough patients to develop RCTs with hard end-points as primary outcome measures. Furthermore, the long natural history implies a very long follow-up, which may turn RCTs unfeasible, or, alternatively, enroll patients in RCTs when the disease is already advanced, which severely limits the ability to demonstrate benefit since advanced tissue injury usually progresses despite removal of the original cause. On top of this, any placebo-controlled clinical trial is unethical given the availability of therapy. Thus, further acquisition of knowledge needs to rely on observational studies, mainly from the two registries (Fabry Outcome Survey (FOS) and Fabry Registry) mandated by regulatory agencies for this purposes. We have developed the first systematic approach to the analysis of data gen- erated by the registries and other cohort studies. We have now applied new methodology [10,11] to evaluate the efficacy and safety of ERT for AFD based on available observational studies in order to complement available informa- tion from RCTs and meta-analysis of RCTs. The main finding is that the data are consistent with the efficacy of ERT in preventing hard outcomes, including renal, cardiac and cerebrovas- cular complications. However, the most striking observation was that the benefit was limited to agalsidase beta. While a higher number of patients were treated with agalsidase beta in the included studies, and this may have favored the observation of statistically significant differ- ences over the control groups, a trend was observed for better outcomes in all event categories for agalsidase beta over alfa that was significant for cerebrovascular events. Indeed, there is a biological plausibility for the observation. Thus, agalsidase alfa is prescribed at 5-fold lower dose that agalsidase beta, resulting in 5- to 10-fold lower intracellular agalsidase activity [99]. A case series suggest that the lower dose may not adequately clear glycolipids from certain cells such as podocytes [100]. Indeed, preliminary data reported in abstract form from a head-to- head comparison between agalsidase alfa and agalsidase beta have so far disclosed a non-signif- icant nearly 2-fold higher incidence of severe clinical events per patient on agalsidase alfa than on agalsidase beta [101]. Strengths and limitations Strengths of our study include a comprehensive search; assessment of eligibility, a data abstrac- tion which was independent and in duplicate. The primary limitation of our study is related to the rare disease nature of AFDs. Thus, the population available to study was limited and in some studies long-term follow-up was not available. Another limitation is that our analysis demonstratesd a significant heterogeneity in the clin- ical outcome of all studied groups (i.e. alfa, beta, and untreated patients). Explanations for this heterogeneity could be both clinical and methodological diversities. The studies differed con- siderably in their patient selection (i.e. phenotype, or more frequently, studies that did not specify the type of Fabry), baseline disease severity (e.g. different co-morbidities associated), and ERT regimens (i.e. alfa, beta). Furthermore, out of the 77 cohort studies we were only able to include data in the meta- analysis from 39 of them (50.6%). The majority of the studies were difficult to decipher, and they did not provide all patient-important outcomes. We were also struggling with the fact Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 12 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 that there were multiple publications of the same set of patients, and we attempted to avoid overlapping of same patients in the meta-analysis. Methodological studies have demonstrated that failure to account for overlapping patients can increase type I error when combining results from multiple studies in the same meta-analysis [102]. To deal with this issue we con- tacted the authors of the included studies to request information on the overlap of patients in their publications (S3 Table). Unfortunately, only 11.7% of the authors replied addressing our concern. Furthermore, since major centers are enrolling their patients in either the FOS or the Fabry Registry, where data is anonymized, even authors may not know whether specific patients are also included in Registry-based papers. A further limitation was the insufficient number of studies that did not allow completing statistical analysis initially planned. We were not able to assess publication bias because there were less than 15 eligible studies addressing the same outcome in a meta-analysis. Subgroup analyses according to gender (male versus female), phenotype (classical versus non-classical) or disease severity at start of therapy was not possible since minimal criteria were not met (i.e. at least six studies available, with at least three in each sub-group). Another limitation is that individual patient data were not available. This precludes optimal assessment of the impact of length of follow-up, which would require a time-to-event analysis. A sensitivity analysis pooling the short-term studies (i.e. < 5 years) separately from long-term studies (i.e.� 5 years) was only possible for adverse events and no difference was found in the proportion of events between both analyses. One could argue that these limitations make the pooling of results inadvisable. However, the analyses suggest a possible superior efficacy of agalsidase beta over untreated patients for all events; and over alfa on the risk of cerebrovascular events. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to clearly demonstrate the benefits of using ERT, an observation that should be taken into account in health policy debates regarding Fabry disease. In this regard, the results are not surprising. Rather, they lend further support to results from small RCTs. Agalsidase beta was superior to placebo in the only available RCT (n = 82) with primary end- point of severe clinical events [103]. However, the difference was only significant in a per pro- tocol analysis after a pre-specified adjustment for baseline proteinuria. No such RCT is avail- able for agalsidase alfa. The final weakness to be acknowledged is that given the unavailability of information in the analyzed studies, we were unable to clearly separate pre- and post-2001 natural history cohorts or to analyze only classical Fabry patients. However, this weakness may have biased the results against finding the differences that were observed. Thus, the largest agalsidase beta cohort consisted of>1,000 classic patients. By comparing this large classical cohort with untreated patients in whom phenotype was not specified (and may include milder late-onset phenotypes) or who may remain untreated post-2001 (potentially because of a milder phenotype), we may have hedged the odds against observing a difference. Relation to prior work The previous Cochrane review [7] addressing only RCTs studies concluded that ERT improved endothelial deposits of GL3 and pain-related quality of life when compared to pla- cebo. However, there was no evidence of benefit on major clinical outcomes neither on the superiority of one of the current available ERT. However, the absence of the highest level of evidence for an intervention does not necessarily mean that it is ineffective or clinically use- less. Thus, misinterpreting the Cochrane review might mislead therapeutic decisions on AFD. Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 13 / 22 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 A Cochrane review’s conclusions are based strictly on the included studies, that should be RCTs. RCTs are particularly scarce and underpowered in the setting of rare diseases. In this context, a study evaluating the robustness of overall conclusions from 1,016 Cochrane system- atic reviews of RCTs found that 96% of the analyzed reviews recommended further research [104]. Therefore, most authors of these systematic reviews concluded that there was insuffi- cient evidence to answer the clinical questions on therapeutic strategies [104]. This is of little help to practicing physicians that have to make therapeutic decisions on a daily basis. Meta-analysis optimizes the results of a systematic review. However, heterogeneity and/or insufficient number of studies addressing the same clinical question limit the ability to perform meta-analysis. Indeed, for most of the 1016 systematic reviews, it was only possible to identify two clinical trials that satisfied the inclusion criteria [104]. The same team of authors reana- lyzed in 2011 a random sample of Cochrane systematic reviews and found similar percentages in the analysis of 1,128 systematic reviews [105]. Furthermore, the term "very low quality evidence" means that there was not enough or well-conducted included studies to determine whether the treatment under study is more effective compared to the control group and; again does not necessarily mean that it is inef- fective or clinically useless. Systematic reviews use rigorous methods to identify, critically appraise and synthesize relevant research studies [106]. Nonetheless, as verified by some studies [104,105] they lack sufficient numbers of clinical trials. Moreover, readers of system- atic reviews usually, but erroneously, conclude "absence of effect" or "absence of differences between treatments" instead of "there is insufficient evidence either to support or to refute" [107]. A Cochrane review [108] evaluating the efficacy and safety of ERT and substrate reduction therapy for treating Gaucher disease identified the low sample size of RCTs as a real challenge for the analysis of rare diseases. Conclusions Agalsidase beta is associated to a significantly lower incidence of renal, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events than no ERT, and to a significantly lower incidence of cerebrovascular events than agalsidase alfa. The rates of adverse events between agalsidase alfa and beta did not differ statistically. In view of these results, the use of agalsidase beta for preventing major organ complications related to AFD can be recommended. This study also highlights the need to address the suboptimal reporting of cohort studies through the development of a guidance document focused on reporting studies on rare diseases. Supporting information S1 Table. PRISMA checklist. (DOC) S2 Table. Search strategy. (DOCX) S3 Table. Information about contact with authors of the included studies. (DOCX) S4 Table. Study characteristics related to inclusion and exclusion criteria per included study. (DOCX) Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 14 / 22 http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchSingleRepresentation.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.s001 http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchSingleRepresentation.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.s002 http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchSingleRepresentation.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.s003 http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchSingleRepresentation.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.s004 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 S1 Fig. Pooled analysis of proportions from cohort studies for renal complications. Panel A: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis). Panel B: agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analysis excluding chil- dren). Panel C: agalsidase beta. Panel D: untreated patients. (TIF) S2 Fig. Pooled analysis of proportions from cohort studies for cardiovascular complica- tions. Panel A: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis). Panel B: agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analysis excluding children). Panel C: agalsidase beta (primary analysis). Panel D: agalsidase beta (sen- sitivity analysis excluding children). Panel E: untreated patients. (TIF) S3 Fig. Pooled analysis of proportions from cohort studies for cerebrovascular complica- tions. Panel A: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis). Panel B: agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analysis excluding children). Panel C: agalsidase beta. Panel D: untreated patients. (TIF) S4 Fig. Pooled analysis of proportions from cohort studies for adverse events. Panel A: agalsidase alfa (primary analysis). Panel B: agalsidase alfa (sensitivity analysis excluding chil- dren). Panel C: agalsidase beta (primary analysis). Panel D: agalsidase beta (sensitivity analysis excluding children). Panel E: untreated patients. (TIF) S5 Fig. Sensitivity analysis comparing different follow-up periods in agalsidase alfa in pri- mary analysis. Panel A:� 5 years. Panel B:< 5 years. (TIF) Acknowledgments We would like to thank Dr Kampmann, Dr Schiffmann, Dr Germain, Dr Wilcox, Dr Pisani, Dr West, Dr Feriozzi, Dr Hughes, Dr Vedder, and Dr Linthorst to reply to our request on whether there was an overlap of patients in their researches. Author Contributions Conceptualization: RED AO JP AK FCB. Data curation: RED HG AO JP FCB. Formal analysis: RED AO JP AK FCB. Investigation: RED HG AO JP AK FCB. Methodology: RED. Project administration: RED. Resources: RED AO JP AK FCB. Software: RED HG. Supervision: RED AO. Validation: RED HG AO JP AK FCB. Visualization: RED. Writing – original draft: RED AO JP AK FCB. Enzyme replacement therapy for Anderson-Fabry disease: A complementary overview PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 March 15, 2017 15 / 22 http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchSingleRepresentation.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.s005 http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchSingleRepresentation.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.s006 http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchSingleRepresentation.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.s007 http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchSingleRepresentation.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.s008 http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchSingleRepresentation.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358.s009 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0173358 Writing – review & editing: RED AO JP AK FCB. References 1. Meikle PJ, Hopwood JJ, Clague AE, Carey WF. Prevalence of lysosomal storage disorders. JAMA 1999; 281:249–54. PMID: 9918480 2. 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