Variabilidade espacial e temporal de precipitação pluviométrica na bacia hidrográfica do Rio Mogi Guaçu
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Data
2013-05-02
Autores
Chierice, Roseli Aparecida Fernandes [UNESP]
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Editor
Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)
Resumo
O objetivo desta pesquisa foi analisar a variabilidade anual, mensal e sazonal das precipitações pluviométricas, tanto em sua dimensão temporal, como em sua distribuição espacial e determinar regiões pluviometricamente homogêneas, no âmbito da bacia hidrográfica do Rio Mogi Guaçu, utilizando-se dados de precipitação anual de 40 postos pluviométricos, em um período de 25 anos, 1975 a 1999. Para seleção dos postos consideraram-se, aqueles cujas séries não tivessem falhas ou, então, um número reduzido delas e, que os anos dessas séries fossem concomitantes. A bacia hidrográfica do Rio Mogi Guaçu está, localizada na região Nordeste do estado de São Paulo e Sudoeste de Minas Gerais, está compreendido entre os paralelos 20°53’ e 22°30’ e os meridianos 46°08’ e 48°11̕, com uma área de drenagem de, aproximadamente, 14.653 km² no trecho paulista. Na primeira etapa deste trabalho, analisaram-se os dados pluviométricos por meio da estatística descritiva, observando-se que alguns anos apresentavam características pluviométricas diferentes. Considerou-se nessa análise, os mapas de isolinhas das chuvas anuais, de cada ano do período, e uma planilha cromática na classificação dos anos padrão. Aos mapas e à planilha atribuíram-se cores, as quais obedeciam a uma escala definida pela Regra de Sturges. Dos anos classificados, escolheu-se 1983 (padrão chuvoso), 1994 (padrão seco) e 1995 (padrão habitual), para identificar possíveis oscilações nas chuvas sazonais. Na segunda etapa, com a série de dados pluviométricos, fez-se uma análise de agrupamentos, utilizando-se, o método aglomerativo hierárquico, com o coeficiente de Ward, para a formação de grupos de postos pluviométricos similares. Com os postos pluviométricos, formaram-se quatro grupos homogêneos. Esses grupos identificaram regiões homogêneas...
The aim of this research was to analyze the annual, monthly and seasonal rainfall variability, both in their temporal dimension and in their spatial distribution, and determine rainfall homogeneous regions within the ambit of the area of the Mogi Guaçu River using annual precipitation data from 40 rain gauge stations in a period of 25 years, from 1975 to 1999. Selecting the venues we considered those which series did not have failures, or else a reduced number, and that the years of these series were concomitant. The Mogi Guaçu River of the watershed is located in the northeast region of the state of São Paulo and southwest of the state of Minas Gerais, is between the parallels 20°53’ and 22°30' and meridians 46°08’ and 48°11̕, with a drainage area of approximately 14.653 km2 in the stretch that belongs to São Paulo. In first step of this study we analyzed the rainfall data by using descriptive statistics, observing that some years had different rainfall characteristics. In this analysis were considered the contour maps of annual rainfall for each year of the period and a chromatic spreadsheet to classify the standard years. It was attributed colors to of the maps and to the spreadsheet wich follow regarding Sturges rule scale. From the ranked the years we chose 1983 (rainy standard), 1994 (dry standard) and 1995 (usual pattern) to identify possible oscillation in seasonal rainfall. In the second step, with a series of rainfall data, it was done a cluster analysis, using the agglomerative hierarchical method, with the coefficient of Ward, to form groups of similar climatic stations. It was then formed four homogeneous groups with pluviometric stations. These groups have identified homogeneous regions in the basin as a function of annual precipitation. In this analysis it was possible to find groups with the same... (Complete abstract click electronic access below)
The aim of this research was to analyze the annual, monthly and seasonal rainfall variability, both in their temporal dimension and in their spatial distribution, and determine rainfall homogeneous regions within the ambit of the area of the Mogi Guaçu River using annual precipitation data from 40 rain gauge stations in a period of 25 years, from 1975 to 1999. Selecting the venues we considered those which series did not have failures, or else a reduced number, and that the years of these series were concomitant. The Mogi Guaçu River of the watershed is located in the northeast region of the state of São Paulo and southwest of the state of Minas Gerais, is between the parallels 20°53’ and 22°30' and meridians 46°08’ and 48°11̕, with a drainage area of approximately 14.653 km2 in the stretch that belongs to São Paulo. In first step of this study we analyzed the rainfall data by using descriptive statistics, observing that some years had different rainfall characteristics. In this analysis were considered the contour maps of annual rainfall for each year of the period and a chromatic spreadsheet to classify the standard years. It was attributed colors to of the maps and to the spreadsheet wich follow regarding Sturges rule scale. From the ranked the years we chose 1983 (rainy standard), 1994 (dry standard) and 1995 (usual pattern) to identify possible oscillation in seasonal rainfall. In the second step, with a series of rainfall data, it was done a cluster analysis, using the agglomerative hierarchical method, with the coefficient of Ward, to form groups of similar climatic stations. It was then formed four homogeneous groups with pluviometric stations. These groups have identified homogeneous regions in the basin as a function of annual precipitation. In this analysis it was possible to find groups with the same... (Complete abstract click electronic access below)
Descrição
Palavras-chave
Climatology, Climatologia, Precipitação (Meteorologia) - Variabilidade, Regiões homogeneas, Mogi-Guaçu, Rio, Bacia (MG e SP)
Como citar
CHIERICE, Roseli Aparecida Fernandes. Variabilidade espacial e temporal de precipitação pluviométrica na bacia hidrográfica do Rio Mogi Guaçu. 2013. 117 f. Tese (doutorado) - Universidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho, Instituto de Geociências e Ciências Exatas, 2013.