Global predation pressure redistribution under future climate change

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dc.contributor.authorRomero, Gustavo Q.
dc.contributor.authorGoncalves-Souza, Thiago
dc.contributor.authorKratina, Pavel
dc.contributor.authorMarino, Nicholas A. C.
dc.contributor.authorPetry, William K.
dc.contributor.authorSobral-Souza, Thadeu [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorRoslin, Tomas
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
dc.contributor.institutionUniv Fed Rural Pernambuco
dc.contributor.institutionQueen Mary Univ London
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)
dc.contributor.institutionEidgenoss Tech Hsch Zurich
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)
dc.contributor.institutionSwedish Univ Agr Sci
dc.contributor.institutionUniv Helsinki
dc.date.accessioned2019-10-04T18:34:07Z
dc.date.available2019-10-04T18:34:07Z
dc.date.issued2018-12-01
dc.description.abstractHow climate affects biotic interactions is a question of urgent concern(1-3). Theory predicts that biotic interactions are stronger at lower latitudes(4-6). However, the role of climate in governing these patterns is typically assumed, rather than explicitly tested. Here, we dissected the influence of climatic descriptors on predation pressure using data from a global experiment with model caterpillars. We then used projections of future climate change to predict shifts in predation pressure. Climate, particularly components of temperature, explained latitudinal and elevational patterns of predation better than latitude or elevation by themselves. Projected predation pressure was greater under higher temperatures and more stable climates. Increased climatic instability projected for the near future predicts a general decrease in predation pressure over time. By identifying the current climatic drivers of global patterns in a key biotic interaction, we show how shifts in these drivers could alter the functioning of terrestrial ecosystems and their associated services.en
dc.description.affiliationUniv Estadual Campinas, Inst Biol, Dept Anim Biol, Lab Multitroph Interact & Biodivers, Sao Paulo, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationUniv Fed Rural Pernambuco, Dept Biol, Lab Ecol Synth & Biodivers Conservat, Recife, PE, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationQueen Mary Univ London, Sch Biol & Chem Sci, London, England
dc.description.affiliationUniv Fed Rio de Janeiro, Inst Biol, Dept Ecol, Ctr Ciencias Saude,Lab Limnol, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationEidgenoss Tech Hsch Zurich, Inst Integrat Biol, Zurich, Switzerland
dc.description.affiliationUniv Estadual Paulista, Biosci Inst, Dept Ecol, Spatial Ecol & Conservat Lab, Sao Paulo, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationSwedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Ecol, Spatial Foodweb Ecol Grp, Uppsala, Sweden
dc.description.affiliationUniv Helsinki, Dept Agr Sci, Spatial Foodweb Ecol Grp, Helsinki, Finland
dc.description.affiliationUnespUniv Estadual Paulista, Biosci Inst, Dept Ecol, Spatial Ecol & Conservat Lab, Sao Paulo, Brazil
dc.description.sponsorshipFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
dc.description.sponsorshipConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
dc.description.sponsorshipAcademy of Finland
dc.description.sponsorshipFINEP
dc.description.sponsorshipIdFAPESP: 2016/01209-9
dc.description.sponsorshipIdCNPq: 151003/2018-1
dc.description.sponsorshipIdAcademy of Finland: 138346
dc.description.sponsorshipIdAcademy of Finland: 276909
dc.description.sponsorshipIdAcademy of Finland: 285803
dc.description.sponsorshipIdCNPq: 550022/2014-7
dc.description.sponsorshipIdFINEP: 01.13.0353.00
dc.format.extent1087-+
dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0347-y
dc.identifier.citationNature Climate Change. London: Nature Publishing Group, v. 8, n. 12, p. 1087-+, 2018.
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41558-018-0347-y
dc.identifier.issn1758-678X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/186294
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000451919500020
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherNature Publishing Group
dc.relation.ispartofNature Climate Change
dc.rights.accessRightsAcesso restrito
dc.sourceWeb of Science
dc.titleGlobal predation pressure redistribution under future climate changeen
dc.typeArtigo
dcterms.rightsHolderNature Publishing Group
unesp.author.orcid0000-0002-9144-7937[3]
unesp.author.orcid0000-0002-2957-4791[7]

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