Socio-climatic hotspots in Brazil

Página do item simplificado
dc.contributor.authorTorres, Roger R.
dc.contributor.authorLapola, David M. [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorMarengo, Jose A.
dc.contributor.authorLombardo, Magda A. [UNESP]
dc.contributor.institutionInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)
dc.date.accessioned2013-09-30T18:48:17Z
dc.date.accessioned2014-05-20T13:57:36Z
dc.date.available2013-09-30T18:48:17Z
dc.date.available2014-05-20T13:57:36Z
dc.date.issued2012-12-01
dc.description.abstractBrazil suffers yearly from extreme weather and climate events, which can be exacerbated in a warmer climate. Although several studies have analyzed the projections of climate change in Brazil, little attention has been paid to defining the locations that can be most affected, and consequently have a more vulnerable population, in a spatially-explicit form. This study presents a spatial analysis of summarized climate change data and a joint investigation combining these possible climate changes and social vulnerability indicators in Brazil. The Regional Climate Change Index (RCCI), which can synthesize a large number of climate model projections, is used for the climate analysis, and the Socio-Climatic Vulnerability Index (SCVI) is proposed to aggregate local population vulnerabilities to the climate change information. The RCCI results show climatic hotspots emerging in Brazil, covering the western portion of the Northeast (NE), northwestern Minas Gerais state and center-western (CW) and northern regions (N), except northeast Para and Amapa states. The SCVI analysis reveals major socio-climatic hotspots in the NE and several localized hotspots in some of the major Brazilian metropolitan regions, namely Manaus, Belo Horizonte, Brasilia, Salvador, Rio de Janeiro and So Paulo. The two novelties of this study are a spatially detailed analysis of the RCCI in Brazil and the development of an index that can summarize the large amount of climate model information available today with social vulnerability indicators. Both indices may be important tools for improving the dialogue between climate and social scientists and for communicating climate change to policymakers in a more synthetic and socially relevant form.en
dc.description.affiliationNatl Inst Space Res INPE, Ctr Weather Forecast & Climate Studies CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationSão Paulo State Univ UNESP, Dept Ecol, Earth Syst Sci Lab LabTerra, Rio Claro, SP, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationNatl Inst Space Res INPE, Ctr Earth Syst Sci, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationSão Paulo State Univ UNESP, Ctr Environm Planning & Anal CEAPLA, Rio Claro, SP, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationUnespSão Paulo State Univ UNESP, Dept Ecol, Earth Syst Sci Lab LabTerra, Rio Claro, SP, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationUnespSão Paulo State Univ UNESP, Ctr Environm Planning & Anal CEAPLA, Rio Claro, SP, Brazil
dc.description.sponsorshipCoordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
dc.description.sponsorshipConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
dc.description.sponsorshipFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
dc.description.sponsorshipIdFAPESP: 08/58161-1
dc.format.extent597-609
dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0461-1
dc.identifier.citationClimatic Change. Dordrecht: Springer, v. 115, n. 3-4, p. 597-609, 2012.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10584-012-0461-1
dc.identifier.issn0165-0009
dc.identifier.lattes6188864471881525
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/20528
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000310741600010
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.relation.ispartofClimatic Change
dc.relation.ispartofjcr3.537
dc.relation.ispartofsjr2,035
dc.rights.accessRightsAcesso restrito
dc.sourceWeb of Science
dc.titleSocio-climatic hotspots in Brazilen
dc.typeArtigo
dcterms.licensehttp://www.springer.com/open+access/authors+rights?SGWID=0-176704-12-683201-0
dcterms.rightsHolderSpringer
unesp.author.lattes6188864471881525
unesp.author.orcid0000-0002-5684-3125[1]
unesp.campusUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp), Instituto de Biociências, Rio Claropt

Arquivos

Licença do Pacote
Agora exibindo 1 - 2 de 2
Nenhuma Miniatura disponível
Nome:
license.txt
Tamanho:
1.71 KB
Formato:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Descrição:
Nenhuma Miniatura disponível
Nome:
license.txt
Tamanho:
1.71 KB
Formato:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Descrição:

Coleções

Artigos - Ecologia - IBRC
Rio Claro - CEAPLA - Centro de Análise e Planejamento Ambiental