Análise da influência termo-pluviométrica nos indicadores do comércio de Maringá (PR): um ensaio metodológico na perspectiva da valorização ambiental
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Data
2003-04-10
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Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)
Resumo
Esta dissertação analisa o grau da influência termo-pluviométrica em alguns indicadores do comércio de Maringá (PR). Para isso foram estudados os elementos climáticos, temperatura e precipitação, bem como os indicadores econômicos: ICMS, SCPC, Vídeo-Cheque, Consumo e Consumidores de Energia Elétrica. Realizaram-se análises gráficas, e aplicações estatísticas de correlação e regressão, bem como, o exame de um estudo de caso. Considera-se que os grupos investigados apresentaram variações nas formas de correlações. A variável temperatura influência tanto no período frio como no período quente. A precipitação apresenta praticamente um tipo de comportamento: o aumento das chuvas faz diminuir a movimentação do comércio. Os resultados das análises do estudo de caso, que investiga a correlação das vendas diárias de um supermercado, mostraram que: o aumento da temperatura correlaciona-se com o aumento nas vendas, bem como, queda na temperatura – queda nas vendas; e o aumento da precipitação correlaciona-se com a diminuição das vendas; e a queda na precipitação – aumento das vendas. Os resultados apresentados neste trabalho possuem o caráter de testes preliminares por ser uma primeira tentativa de aproximação real entre as variáveis do clima (temperatura e precipitação) com alguns indicadores do comportamento do comércio da cidade de Maringá.
This dissertation analyzes the degree of thermo-pluviometric influence on certain of Maringá’s (PR) commercial indicators. To this end the climatic elements of temperature and precipitation as well as the following economic indicators were studied: ICMS, SCPC, Video-Check, Consumption and Consumers of Electric Energy. Graphical analyses along with statistical applications of correlation and regression were performed, as well as the examination of a case study. It is believed that the groups investigated exhibited variations in the forms of correlation. The temperature variable influences as much during the cold period as during the hot period. Precipitation exhibits practically one type of behavior: increased rainfall results in diminished commercial activity. The results of the case study analysis, which investigates the correlation of daily sales of a supermarket, demonstrated the following: increased temperature is correlated with increased sales, as well as decreased temperature with a decrease in sales; while increased precipitation correlates with decreased sales; and decreased precipitation with an increase in sales. The results herein presented are in the manner of a preliminary trial, representing a first attempt at measuring the actual relationship between the climatic variables (temperature and precipitation) with certain behavioral indicators of commerce in the city of Maringá.
This dissertation analyzes the degree of thermo-pluviometric influence on certain of Maringá’s (PR) commercial indicators. To this end the climatic elements of temperature and precipitation as well as the following economic indicators were studied: ICMS, SCPC, Video-Check, Consumption and Consumers of Electric Energy. Graphical analyses along with statistical applications of correlation and regression were performed, as well as the examination of a case study. It is believed that the groups investigated exhibited variations in the forms of correlation. The temperature variable influences as much during the cold period as during the hot period. Precipitation exhibits practically one type of behavior: increased rainfall results in diminished commercial activity. The results of the case study analysis, which investigates the correlation of daily sales of a supermarket, demonstrated the following: increased temperature is correlated with increased sales, as well as decreased temperature with a decrease in sales; while increased precipitation correlates with decreased sales; and decreased precipitation with an increase in sales. The results herein presented are in the manner of a preliminary trial, representing a first attempt at measuring the actual relationship between the climatic variables (temperature and precipitation) with certain behavioral indicators of commerce in the city of Maringá.
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Clima, Economia, Comércio, Climate, Economy, Correlation
Como citar
ANDRIUCCI, Lays Regina. Análise da influência termo-pluviométrica nos indicadores do comércio de Maringá (PR): um ensaio metodológico na perspectiva da valorização ambiental. 2003. 585 f. Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual Paulista, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia, 2003.