ECONOMIC VIABILITY OF Caiman latirostris IN THE STATE OF SAO PAULO (BRAZIL): SALE OF MATRICES AND REPRODUCERS

Abstract

The breeding of crocodilians has great economic potential. The present study investigated the economic feasibility of crocodilians in the state of Sao Paulo in different scenarios (sale 40-100 animals per year), with the goal of producing matrices and reproducers for renewal or formation of breeding in other creations, through a sensitivity and stochastic analysis (Monte Carlo simulation). The results of the sensitivity analysis show favorability of this activity in a 15-year horizon, with a Net Present Value (NPV) of R$ -202,804.18. However, the projection of variables for a risk analysis (stochastic) enabled the survival of the crocodilian farm without major changes and lower costs for farmers, revealing a low-risk activity, indicating a high probability of economic return.