Viabilidade econômica da criação de matrizes e reprodutores de Caiman latirostris no estado de são paulo
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Data
2015-01-01
Autores
Carreira, Laura Borelli Thomaz [UNESP]
Sabbag, Omar Jorge [UNESP]
Abe, Augusto Shinya [UNESP]
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Resumo
The breeding of crocodilians has great economic potential. The present study investigated the economic feasibility of crocodilians in the state of São Paulo in different scenarios (sale 40-100 animals per year), with the goal of producing matrices and reproducers for renewal or formation of breeding in other creations, through a sensitivity and stochastic analysis (Monte Carlo simulation). The results of the sensitivity analysis show favorability of this activity in a 15-year horizon, with a Net Present Value (NPV) of R$-202,804.18. However, the projection of variables for a risk analysis (stochastic) enabled the survival of the crocodilian farm without major changes and lower costs for farmers, revealing a low-risk activity, indicating a high probability of economic return.
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Crocodilians, Monte Carlo simulation, Risk analysis
Como citar
Boletim do Instituto de Pesca, v. 41, n. 3, p. 687-695, 2015.