Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil

dc.contributor.authorMoraes, Wanderson Bucker
dc.contributor.authorDe Jesus Junior, Waldir Cintra [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorDe Azevedo Peixoto, Leonardo
dc.contributor.authorMoraes, William Bucker
dc.contributor.authorCoser, Sara Morra [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorCecílio, Roberto Avelino
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Federal do Espírito Santo (UFES)
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV)
dc.contributor.institutionUniversitaet Hannover
dc.date.accessioned2014-05-27T11:26:26Z
dc.date.available2014-05-27T11:26:26Z
dc.date.issued2012-04-01
dc.description.abstractThe potential impact of global climate change on the spatial-temporal distribution of phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil was evaluated. Maps were prepared with the favorability of the climate to the occurrence of the disease in the current period and future. The future scenarios used were centered for the decades of 2010-2030, 2040-2060, and 2070-2090 (scenarios A2 and B2). These scenarios were obtained from six global climate models (GCM's) provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Assuming the future scenarios outlined by the IPCC, a reduction will occur in the occurrence of climatic favorability of phoma leaf spot in Brazil in both future scenarios (A2 and B2). As with the temporal distribution, the period of greatest risk of phoma leaf spot will tend to diminish in future decades. These planned changes will be larger in the A2 scenario compared to the predicted scenario B2. Despite the decrease in the favorability of phoma leaf spot in the country, some regions still present a potential risk of this disease. Furthermore, the increased frequency of extreme weather was not taken in to account. These will certainly influence the magnitude of potential impacts of climate change on the phoma leaf spot in Brazil.en
dc.description.affiliationAgricultural Technician and Scholar of Agronomy Universidade Federal Do Espírito Santo (UFES)
dc.description.affiliationUniversidade Estadual Paulista Julio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP)
dc.description.affiliationUniversidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV)
dc.description.affiliationUniversitaet Hannover
dc.description.affiliationUFES
dc.description.affiliationDepartment of Plant Production Centro de Ciências Agrárias CCA/UFES, 29500-000 - Alegre, Espírito Santo
dc.description.affiliationAgronomy-Crop Production UFES
dc.description.affiliationUnespUniversidade Estadual Paulista Julio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP)
dc.format.extent272-278
dc.identifierhttp://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=33922748006
dc.identifier.citationInterciencia, v. 37, n. 4, p. 272-278, 2012.
dc.identifier.file2-s2.0-84860333589.pdf
dc.identifier.issn0378-1844
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84860333589
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/73276
dc.language.isoeng
dc.relation.ispartofInterciencia
dc.relation.ispartofjcr0.258
dc.relation.ispartofsjr0,183
dc.rights.accessRightsAcesso aberto
dc.sourceScopus
dc.subjectCoffea spp.
dc.subjectGeographic Information System
dc.subjectGlobal Warming
dc.subjectPlant Diseases
dc.subjectCoffea
dc.subjectPhoma
dc.titleImpact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazilen
dc.typeArtigo
dcterms.licensehttp://www.scielo.org.ve/revistas/inci/paboutj.htm

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