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dc.contributor.authorSilvestre, Miriam Rodrigues [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorBezerra, Manoel Ivanildo Silvestre [UNESP]
dc.date.accessioned2018-12-11T17:26:33Z
dc.date.available2018-12-11T17:26:33Z
dc.date.issued2015-10-01
dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0102-778620130043
dc.identifier.citationRevista Brasileira de Meteorologia, v. 30, n. 4, p. 457-466, 2015.
dc.identifier.issn1982-4351
dc.identifier.issn0102-7786
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/177665
dc.description.abstractIn this work two regression models, constructed to estimate the monthly minimum and maximum average temperature (Tmin and Tmax) series at Presidente Prudente (SP) city are presented. The temporal decomposition model with linear trend and seasonality and the harmonic model with linear trend and harmonic components were built for periods of 50 years (1961-2010) and of 30 years (1981-2010). The models were compared by accuracy measures on the 50 and 30 years series. The precision and performance measurements were evaluated for the validation data set (2011-2014). It was proposed the Spearman correlation coefficient instead of the Pearson coefficient in the case of non-normality of the original observations and model estimates, and to assess the accuracy and the performance of the models through the CS index. It was observed that the harmonic model showed better results than the temporal decomposition model, especially when it was built using the longer Tmax (50 years) and shorter Tmin series (30 years).en
dc.format.extent457-466
dc.language.isopor
dc.relation.ispartofRevista Brasileira de Meteorologia
dc.sourceScopus
dc.subjectHarmonic model
dc.subjectMaximum temperature
dc.subjectMinimum temperature
dc.subjectRegression model
dc.subjectTemporal decomposition model
dc.titleModelos decomposição temporal e de regressão harmônica: Uma comparação para a série mensal da temperatura mínima e máxima média de Presidente Prudente (SP)pt
dc.title.alternativeTemporal decomposition and harmonic regression models: A comparison to the series of monthly average minimum and maximum temperature at Presidente Prudente (SP)en
dc.typeArtigo
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
dc.description.affiliationUniversidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP) Departamento de Estatística (Dest)
dc.description.affiliationUnespUniversidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP) Departamento de Estatística (Dest)
dc.identifier.doi10.1590/0102-778620130043
dc.identifier.scieloS0102-77862015000400457
dc.rights.accessRightsAcesso aberto
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84951278167
dc.identifier.fileS0102-77862015000400457.pdf
dc.identifier.lattes0343836475605233
dc.identifier.lattes3356686459975471
unesp.author.lattes0343836475605233
unesp.author.lattes3356686459975471
dc.relation.ispartofsjr0,264
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