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dc.contributor.authorOliveira, S. C. [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorPereira, L. M.M. [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorHanashiro, J. T.S. [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorVal, P. C. [UNESP]
dc.date.accessioned2022-04-28T19:00:53Z
dc.date.available2022-04-28T19:00:53Z
dc.date.issued2011-01-01
dc.identifier.citation21st International Conference on Production Research: Innovation in Product and Production, ICPR 2011 - Conference Proceedings.
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/220314
dc.description.abstractAgribusiness is simply the biggest deal of the Brazilian and world economies. The price is an important variable for this sector since the economic and market conditions have been varied over time. Efficient modeling methods have been needed in order to better describing trends and characteristics of that variable. The objective was to study the performance of time series techniques of fixed and open models for the analysis and forecasting of agricultural prices, in order to demonstrating the feasibility of those techniques in generating results for making economic decisions. Historical series of monthly average price of the crops peanuts, sugar cane, banana and orange received by Brazilian producers were considered in the analysis, from August 1994 to December 2009. The study showed that although exponential smoothing models to be not complex, they performed better in the adjustment of most price series.en
dc.language.isoeng
dc.relation.ispartof21st International Conference on Production Research: Innovation in Product and Production, ICPR 2011 - Conference Proceedings
dc.sourceScopus
dc.subjectAgricultural marketing
dc.subjectDecision making
dc.subjectManagement
dc.subjectResource efficiency
dc.subjectStatistical models
dc.titleA study about the performance of time series models for the analysis and forecasting of agricultural pricesen
dc.typeTrabalho apresentado em evento
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
dc.description.affiliationCEPEAGRO/CET, Univ. Estadual Paulista - UNESP, Av. Domingos da Costa Lopes, 780
dc.description.affiliationUnespCEPEAGRO/CET, Univ. Estadual Paulista - UNESP, Av. Domingos da Costa Lopes, 780
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84923410758
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