Hydrologic Response to Land Use and Land Cover Change Scenarios: An Example from the Paraopeba River Basin Based on the SWAT Model

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dc.contributor.authorCosta, Renata Cristina Araújo [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorSantos, Regina Maria Bessa
dc.contributor.authorFernandes, Luís Filipe Sanches [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorCarvalho de Melo, Marília [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorValera, Carlos Alberto [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorValle Junior, Renato Farias do [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorSilva, Maytê Maria Abreu Pires de Melo [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorPacheco, Fernando António Leal [UNESP]
dc.contributor.authorPissarra, Teresa Cristina Tarlé [UNESP]
dc.contributor.institutionUniversity of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro (UTAD)
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
dc.contributor.institutionCidade Administrativa do Estado de Minas Gerais
dc.contributor.institutionCoordenadoria Regional das Promotorias de Justiça do Meio Ambiente das Bacias dos Rios Paranaíba e Baixo Rio Grande
dc.contributor.institutionFederal Institute of Triângulo Mineiro (IFTM)
dc.date.accessioned2023-07-29T16:13:00Z
dc.date.available2023-07-29T16:13:00Z
dc.date.issued2023-04-01
dc.description.abstractHuman land use land cover changes (LULCCs) can cause impacts on watershed lands and on water resources. The regions with land use conflict suffer more intense erosion processes due to their high slope and drainage density. The study intends to evaluate scenarios with an absence of land use conflict and verify if it can contribute to reductions in surface runoff, avoiding the carriage of tailings to river channels. In the study, the SWAT model was used in the hydrological modeling of the Paraopeba River watershed affected by the rupture. The results show that the SWAT model was able to reproduce the flow data with good and very good performances. The quality indicators in the calibration step were NSE = 0.66, R2 = 0.69, PBIAS = 5.2%, and RSR = 0.59, and in the validation, step were NSE = 0.74, R2 = 0.77, PBIAS = 13.5%, and RSR = 0.51. The LULCC from 2000 to 2019 led to a 70% increase in lateral runoff (LATQ) and a 74% decrease in aquifer groundwater. The scenario of land use capability and no conflict can reduce lateral runoff by 37% and increase water infiltration by 265%, minimizing the point and diffuse contamination of the tailings in the Paraopeba river channel.en
dc.description.affiliationCentre for the Research and Technology of Agro-Environmental and Biological Sciences—CITAB University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro (UTAD)
dc.description.affiliationLand Use Policy Research Group/CNPq Paulista State University (UNESP), SP
dc.description.affiliationChemistry Centre of Vila Real—CQVR University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro (UTAD)
dc.description.affiliationSecretaria de Estado de Meio Ambiente e Desenvolvimento Sustentável Cidade Administrativa do Estado de Minas Gerais, MG
dc.description.affiliationCoordenadoria Regional das Promotorias de Justiça do Meio Ambiente das Bacias dos Rios Paranaíba e Baixo Rio Grande, MG
dc.description.affiliationGeoprocessing Laboratory Federal Institute of Triângulo Mineiro (IFTM), Uberaba Campus, MG
dc.description.affiliationSchool of Agricultural and Veterinarian Sciences São Paulo State University (Unesp), SP
dc.description.affiliationUnespLand Use Policy Research Group/CNPq Paulista State University (UNESP), SP
dc.description.affiliationUnespSchool of Agricultural and Veterinarian Sciences São Paulo State University (Unesp), SP
dc.description.sponsorshipConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w15081451
dc.identifier.citationWater (Switzerland), v. 15, n. 8, 2023.
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/w15081451
dc.identifier.issn2073-4441
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85156234025
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/249925
dc.language.isoeng
dc.relation.ispartofWater (Switzerland)
dc.sourceScopus
dc.subjectBrumadinho dam
dc.subjecthydrological cycle
dc.subjectland use conflict
dc.subjectland use land cover changes
dc.subjectSWAT
dc.titleHydrologic Response to Land Use and Land Cover Change Scenarios: An Example from the Paraopeba River Basin Based on the SWAT Modelen
dc.typeArtigo
unesp.author.orcid0000-0001-8454-5400[2]
unesp.author.orcid0000-0002-9486-7160[3]
unesp.author.orcid0000-0001-5096-0550[5]
unesp.author.orcid0000-0003-0774-5788[6]
unesp.author.orcid0000-0002-7633-0714[7]
unesp.author.orcid0000-0002-2399-5261[8]
unesp.author.orcid0000-0001-8261-2470[9]
unesp.departmentEngenharia Rural - FCAVpt

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Jaboticabal - FCAV - Faculdade de Ciências Agrárias e Veterinárias